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The Art of Uncertainty


From the UK's 'statistical national treasure', a clever and data-driven guide to how we can live with risk and uncertainty We live in a world where uncertainty is inevitable. How should we deal with what we don't know? And what role do chance, luck and coincidence play in our lives? David Spiegelhalter has spent his career dissecting data in order to understand risks and assess the chances of what might happen in the future. In The Art of Uncertainty, he gives readers a window onto how we can all do this better. In engaging, crystal-clear prose, he takes us through the principles of probability, showing how it can help us think more analytically about everything from medical advice to pandemics and climate change forecasts, and explores how we can update our beliefs about the future in the face of constantly changing experience. Along the way, he explains why roughly 40% of football results come down to luck rather than talent, how the National Risk Register assesses near-term risks to the United Kingdom, and why we can be so confident that two properly shuffled packs of cards have never, ever been in the exact same order. Drawing on a wide range of captivating real-world examples, this is an essential guide to navigating uncertainty while also having the humility to admit what we do not know
U dodávateľa
18,99 €

The Making of the Modern Middle East


Jeremy Bowen, the International Editor of the BBC, has been covering the Middle East since 1989 and is uniquely placed to explain its complex past and its troubled present. In The Making of the Modern Middle East he offers a gripping and invaluable guide, showing how it came to be and what its future might hold. In part based on his acclaimed podcast, 'Our Man in the Middle East', Bowen takes us on a journey across the Middle East and through its history. He meets ordinary men and women on the front line, and their leaders, whether brutal or benign. He explores the power games that have so often wreaked devastation on civilian populations as those leaders, whatever their motives, jostle for political, religious and economic control. Clear throughout is Bowen's deep understanding of the political, cultural and religious differences between countries as diverse as Erdogan's Turkey, Netanyahu's Israel and Palestine, whether Hamas-controlled Gaza or the West Bank. His long experience of covering events in the region make this an extraordinarily powerful account of one of the world's greatest problems.
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19,99 €

Our Wicked Gifts


How much would you sacrifice for love? What would you trade for power? How far would you go for family? The Winter family are worth billions. But only they know their success is built upon a sinister deal with the devil - each Winter possesses a unique supernatural gift to ensure their power and influence, but in exchange for their souls... Nineteen-year-old black sheep of the family Cicely's gift is for uncovering secrets, which doesn't make her very popular. But, when her family are threatened, and her uncle is found dead, they need her for the first time. When the clues point to Soren, a boy the family banished years ago, Cicely must choose between loyalty to her family and her growing feelings for the person who is trying to destroy them. A dark and twisty romantasy thriller, perfect for fans of The Inheritance Games, Succession and One Of Us is Lying from the bestselling author of Good Girls Die First.
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14,99 €

On Thin Ice


I have one shot to build a better life—not just for me, but for my little brother still stuck in the dump I escaped from. Now that I’ve gotten to Sovereign Kings University, I have to make it worth it. Keep my head down, ignore the rich kids, and graduate. At least that was my plan before I busted a hockey player’s knee and became public enemy number one. Now the team’s golden boy captain, Alexander, leads the charge against me. Kane, the brooding defenseman never misses a chance to humiliate me. Yet, being painfully ignored by Mountain, the reserved giant of a goalie, may just hurt the most. Beneath their hostility I find sparks of desire and unexpected depth, but can I risk losing my heart to one hockey player—let alone all three? I’m certainly in for a long, hard season.
Predpredaj
15,99 €

Bager a deň na stavbe


Leporelo s výrezmi v tvare bagra. Otáčaj stránky a sleduj, ako káčatko a jeho kamaráti stavajú detské ihrisko. Uži si s nimi deň plný práce a zábavy na stavbe.
U dodávateľa
4,90 €

Loved One


'For years I'd known exactly who I was to Gabe. It was a long story but I could tell it confidently, like a bartender sharing a recipe for her signature cocktail. Now things were so jumbled, I didn't know where to begin…' When Julia's first-love-turned-close-friend Gabe, a successful indie musician, dies unexpectedly aged 29, Julia is launched into an intercontinental quest to recover the possessions he left with friends and acquaintances across the world. The search for these items leads Julia to Elizabeth, the last woman Gabe loved, in an interaction that leaves Julia with more questions than answers. Both women, it turns out, have something to hide, and soon find themselves engaged in a complex dance of withholding and revelation. Together, the two must reconcile their conflicting memories of Gabe and who he was to each of them…and who they now are to each other. From the Emmy Award-winning writer behind Hacks and Parks and Recreation,?Loved One is a wise, witty and profoundly moving coming-of-age story with a powerful love at its heart, set to become an instant classic.
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15,99 €

Little Blue Dot


In this thrilling and utterly unique work of narrative non-fiction, Katherine Dunn explores the acute vulnerability of the GPS satellite system - in a book that lifts the lid on the invisible connections of the globe, from the space race to the phone in our pockets This is the story of the Global Positioning System, the network of U.S. government satellites that encircle the earth: a vast web that, in a matter of decades, has transformed the way we understand space and time, making us critically dependent on vulnerable technology we often forget is even there. It is a system that was conceived of as a military product designed for war, but which has since evolved into a vital everyday tool that tells us where we are and when at any given point. But its use doesn't stop there: GPS has transformed our navigation systems and our global trade, our farms and our supermarkets, our stop lights, banking networks, and our energy systems. It overturned online dating, exercise regimens, travel planning and takeaways. It reshaped our daily lives, and then it transformed us. When GPS took away our familiarity with getting lost, it also stripped us of our ability to hide - turning our place in the world into a mappable, knowable entity, and put us, a blinking blue dot on a screen, at its centre. In this thrilling, page-turning work of narrative non-fiction that touches on tech, geopolitics, international relations and economics - Katherine Dunn explores the acute vulnerability of an essential global system that touches all our lives. With echoes of Kleptopia, The Fifth Risk and Prisoners of Geography, as well as echoes of Islands of Abandonment by Cal Flynn and Entangled Life by Merlion Sheldrake in the way it exposes a hidden, esoteric system that we all rely on - this is a book that lifts the lid on the invisible connections of the globe, from the space race to the phone in our pockets.
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19,99 €

Romeo and Juliet


A gorgeously giftable special hardback edition of Romeo and Juliet Bound in high-quality cloth with a dazzling new foil-stamped cover design, Puffin's Clothbound Classics are a gift that book lovers of all ages will treasure forever. 'Parting is such sweet sorrow.' Shakespeare's timeless tale of ill-fated love is the most well-known love story ever told. After a chance meeting at a ball, young Romeo Montague and Juliet Capulet fall desperately in love. But their families are locked in a bitter rivalry, their love forbidden. When blood is spilled, Romeo is banished, forcing Juliet to take desperate measures that spell tragedy for the star-crossed lovers. Gift the best-loved classics to a new generation with Puffin's stunning Clothbound Classics. Bound in high-quality cloth with dazzling new foil-stamped designs, these coveted and highly collectable hardback editions will be treasured forever. The perfect gift for book lovers and new readers alike.
U dodávateľa
19,99 €

The Phantom of the Opera


A gorgeously giftable special hardback edition of The Phantom of the Opera Bound in high-quality cloth with a dazzling new foil-stamped cover design, Puffin's Clothbound Classics are a gift that book lovers of all ages will treasure forever. 'I am dying of love.' Christine Daaé grew up in the Paris Opera, surrounded by art and music - and rumours of a mysterious, dangerous phantom haunting its darkest depths. As Christine's beautiful singing voice develops, she begins to hear the whispers of her 'Angel of Music', the Phantom, teaching her to sing ever more beautifully. But when she falls for her childhood friend, the Phantom's admiration spirals into an obsessive, violent jealousy and a tragic desire for revenge. Gift the best-loved classics to a new generation with Puffin's stunning Clothbound Classics. Bound in high-quality cloth with dazzling new foil-stamped designs, these coveted and highly collectable hardback editions will be treasured forever. The perfect gift for book lovers and new readers alike.
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19,99 €

A Dance of Serpents


Diana has claimed her birthright as Princess of Hell, Lady of Daemons and Chosen of Darkness Incarnate. But she can't forget the wrongs she suffered. The cruelties inflicted on her, as well as her family, friends, and subjects in the wars past. Cruelty from the gods, and the reigning Divine King who wrote the very myths that vilified her people. Her powers have grown beyond anyone's expectations, though they come with a cost. And the price might be more than Diana is willing to pay. Armed to the fangs with allies, the future is bright, and justice finally within reach. The line between justice and revenge is faint, blurred, and slippery. In attempting to punish the wicked, will she keep true to herself, or become the very creature her enemies fear her to be? The sequel to the acclaimed dark romantic fantasy A CURSE OF CROWS, Lauren Dedroog's A DANCE OF SERPENTS continues the epic tale of the wars between gods, men and daemons, and the woman at the centre of it all, whose suffering and rise to power will change the world forever . . . for good, or evil.
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19,99 €

Wreckers


Wreckers sinks the old narratives of imperialism, revealing the violent, chaotic and improvised reality of empire-building from the fifteenth to seventeenth centuries. While figures such as Christopher Columbus, Vasco da Gama and Ferdinand Magellan are celebrated for their maritime achievements - reaching the Americas, India, and circumnavigating the globe - focusing solely on these voyages distorts our perspective on the past. Many explorers ended up as castaways, clinging to the splintered timbers of their wrecked ships, while those who survived often faced resistance and ridicule from indigenous communities across the globe. Drawing on maritime stories from various languages and continents - from Brazil and Southeast Africa to India and the Philippines - Wreckers shares dramatic tales of the sea and the events on land that followed. This offers an alternative timeline for the century after Columbus' 1492 voyage and sheds light on the fractures and fault lines that accompanied the increasing geographical range of European ships. Simon Park argues that even when Europeans arrogantly claimed their own superiority, the truth was that they were often driven by a profound sense of greed and envy, and their actions included numerous mishaps. For example, in his hunt for gold, Martin Frobisher - who fancied himself England's Columbus and Cortés combined - transported worthless rocks across the Atlantic by the tonne. In the search for spices, Captain and profiteer Manuel de Sousa de Sepúlveda's ship was so overladen, it spewed its fragrant cargo when it crashed off the coast of South Africa. Moreover, in every place they went, Europeans depended on local know-how and goodwill - relying on indigenous knowledge of languages, geography, food and medicines. Wreckers reveals the precarious balance between imperious European powers, cunning locals who colluded to further their own agendas, and others who showed great tenacity in their resistance to European incursions. By focusing on stories of failure, defiance and comeuppance, Wreckers - a term Park uses to refer both to those who were wrecked and those involved in wrecking - offers a gripping and original account of a tumultuous period. It challenges the notion of unstoppable European dominance and enables a reimagining of history as a space of possibilities then, now and in the future.
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18,99 €

The Age of Extraction


The pre-eminent exponent of anti-monopoly law explains why we have no option but to break Big Tech's monopolies, and that doing so would unleash innovation and growth. Today's dominant tech platforms - the places where we exchange information and buy things online - could be the most powerful engines of prosperity ever invented. Instead, they are the most effective instruments of wealth extraction ever created and a grave threat to our societies. Here the pre-eminent exponent of anti-monopoly law Tim Wu, who coined the phrase 'net neutrality', explains why breaking Big Tech's monopolies would unleash innovation and growth and is essential if we are to avoid further social division. In their place he sets out the five key ways in which future platforms should be managed to harness the extraordinary potential of these essential technologies and to help build the balanced economies we so badly need.
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19,99 €

Bluffer's Guide to Fitness


In a culture dominated by gym fail memes, sweat patches, and a bit too much grunting, the fitness world is embarrassing enough without not knowing what to do, how to act or what to say. Whether holding your own in a fitness discussion with a high-intensity gym 'bro', or nervously stepping onto the treadmill for the first time, The Bluffer's Guide to Fitness is for everyone who wants to make fitness a part of their daily life. Fitness bluffers of all ages and genders will appreciate the hints, tips and no-nonsense advice on how to bluff your way around a gym, park run or swimming pool; how to pre-empt - and even counter-offer - fitness advice; how to safely break fitness etiquette to your advantage; and how to look and sound fitter than you actually are. Covering a broad spectrum, from weightlifting and gym classes to home gyms and street fitness, The Bluffer's Guide to Fitness is essential reading for bluffers wanting to survive a trip to the gym; for bluffers wanting to emerge victorious in a conversation with a fitness expert; and for anyone who has flirted with the idea of fitness after realising 'cuddly' isn't actually a compliment.
U dodávateľa
9,99 €

Lékařem v zemi spícího krokodýla


Ondřej Šimetka se mezi lety 1999–2019 pětkrát vracel do Východního Timoru. Celkem zde strávil více než tři roky života. Přijel do země zničené konfliktem a chudobou, kde mezi běžné diagnózy patřily podvýživa, malárie, dengue a panovala tu nejvyšší mateřská úmrtnost v Asii. Novorozenecký život byl spíš otázkou štěstí než medicíny. Byl svědkem budování nové země doslova z popela. Pracoval jako tropický lékař, porodník, školitel porodních asistentek i lékařů. Po dvaceti letech se stal svědkem mimořádné proměny: poklesu mateřské úmrtnosti o více než 75?%, vymýcení malárie i spalniček a návratu naděje do míst, kde dříve chybělo téměř vše – kromě lidské síly přežít. Po celou dobu si psal deníky, příběhy a postřehy z každodenní praxe. V této knize je sdílí s nadhledem, humorem i pokorou – skrze silné osudy pacientek, absurdní situace v tropickém zdravotnictví i drobné momenty, které rozhodují o životě a smrti. Text doplňuje historickými a kulturními souvislostmi, které dávají těmto příběhům hlubší smysl.
U dodávateľa
19,99 €

Superhrdina Adamko


Môže byť superhrdinom niekto, kto má nohy z olova a jedáva len sladkosti? Adamko zistí, že červený plášť nestačí – jeho telo potrebuje poriadne palivo! Vydaj sa s Adamkom a so sovou Hankou do ríše chutí. Zisti, ktoré jedlo je turboraketa pre tvoje nohy, čo vytvorí zelený štít proti bacilom a prečo je cukrové bahno nebezpečnou pascou. Podarí sa Adamkovi získať silu na víťazný gól? Natankuj dúhu na tanier a staň sa superhrdinom aj ty!
U dodávateľa
9,68 € 12,90€

Rozprávky z čarovného lesa na dobrú noc


Kto vymyslí najkrajší darček pre starého otca myšiaka? Ako môže z malého semienka vyrásť velikánsky strom? S kým bude veverička Chocholka obdivovať čaro hviezdnej oblohy? Pri čítaní rozprávok o zvieratkách môžeme každý deň žasnúť nad zázrakmi prírody.
U dodávateľa
12,68 € 16,90€

Ezopove bájky 1.


V hlbokom čarovnom lese, kde každá lúka a každý potôčik žije svojím životom, získajú zvieratká nezabudnuteľné skúsenosti. Prečítali sme si rozprávanie o zajkovi Majkovi a korytnačke Želke a o mravcovi Ferkovi a svrčkovi Cyrilovi. Od Majka a Želky sa naučíme, že rýchlosť a chválenkárstvo nie je vždy zárukou úspechu. Skutočné víťazstvo nik nedosiahne len preto, že je rýchly, ale preto, že je rozvážny a vytrvalý. Želka nám pripomína, že dôležitý je každý krok, aj ten naj-menší, len sa nesmieme vzdať svojho cieľa. Z rozprávania o rýchlom zajkovi Majkovi sa naučíme, že úcta k druhým a pokora sú dôležitejšie ako vlastný talent. Ferko a Cyril nám ukážu, že treba vždy myslieť na budúcnosť, ale rovnako dôležitý je aj súcit. Mravec Ferko nám pripomenie, aké dôležité je plánovanie a gazdova-nie. Svrček Cyril na vlastnej koži pocíti dôsledky bezstarostnosti, poučí sa a dosta-ne druhú šancu žiť múdrejšie. Jeho príbeh je dôkazom, že zmeniť sa môže aj ten, kto zlyhal, a to aj vďaka láskavému srdcu priateľa. Tieto príbehy, staré ako les, nám pripomenú staré múdrosti: Dôležitá je vytrvalosť v cieľoch, múdrosť vo svojich prípravách, no netreba zabúdať na silu priateľstva, súcit a pokoru. Práve vďaka týmto vlastnostiam sa aj zvieratá v lese naučia spolu žiť.
U dodávateľa
10,43 € 13,90€

Vražda medzi priateľmi


Napínavý YA triler plný zvratov o kamarátoch, ktorých rozdelila vražda. Henry, Grace a Ally vyrastali v jednej štvrti pokojného mestečka a odjakživa boli nerozluční. Potom všetko zmenila brutálna vražda mladej učiteľky, čo navždy otriasla aj ich priateľstvom. Jake, Henryho starší brat, bol uznaný za vinného - a Grace je tá, ktorá poskytla rozhodujúce svedectvo. Ally a Henry jej túto strašnú zradu skrátka nedokážu odpustiť. O dva roky neskôr sa Jake pre procesnú chybu dostáva na slobodu, no čaká ho nové súdne pojednávanie. A Grace si zrazu nie je istá, čo vlastne v osudnú noc videla. Trojica priateľov sa napriek nezhodám pustí do vlastného pátrania. Pretože ak nemá obeť na svedomí Jake, skutočný páchateľ je stále na slobode. Ale komu môžu veriť? Kto je naozaj nevinný a kto chladnokrvný vrah?
Na sklade > 5Ks
14,39 € 19,99€

Akadémia arkána. Kniha prvá


Clara prežíva v podsvetí Zatmeného Mesta vďaka krádežiam, šťastiu a dávke zakázanej mágie. Keď sa jej posledná lúpež zvrtne, odsúdia ju na doživotie za maľovanie tarotových kariet – vzácny dar, ktorý patrí len elite z Akadémie arkána. Tajomný riaditeľ akadémie princ Kaelis jej však ponúkne východisko. No nebude to zadarmo. Kaelis chce, aby Clara ukradla tarotovú kartu priamo kráľovi. Predstaví ju ako študentku prvého ročníka na akadémii – a zároveň svoju snúbenicu. Clara sa ocitá vo víre kráľovských intríg a nebezpečnej mágie. Jediný chybný krok ju pošle späť do väzenia. Postupne však zisťuje, že princ, ktorého mala nenávidieť, nie je tým, kým sa zdá. Bude riskovať, že mu odovzdá moc nad svetom – a nad svojím srdcom?
Na sklade > 5Ks
19,66 € 26,99€

Najpredávanejší autori v tejto kategórii: Dominik Dán, Joanne K. Rowling, Elle Kennedy, Freida McFadden, Ana Huang.