Toby Ord

The world is in the midst of what may be the most deadly pandemic of the past 100 years. Threats to humanity, and how we address them, define our time. 'Splendid . . . The Precipice is a powerful book, written with a philosopher's eye . . . Ord's love for humanity and hope for its future is infectious' Spectator We live during the most important era of human history. In the twentieth century, we developed the means to destroy ourselves - without developing the moral framework to ensure we won't. This is the Precipice, and how we respond to it will be the most crucial decision of our time. Oxford moral philosopher Toby Ord explores the risks to humanity's future, from the familiar man-made threats of climate change and nuclear war, to the potentially greater, more unfamiliar threats from engineered pandemics and advanced artificial intelligence. With clear and rigorous thinking, Ord calculates the various risk levels, and shows how our own time fits within the larger story of human history. We can say with certainty that the novel coronavirus does not pose such a risk. But could the next pandemic? And what can we do, in our present moment, to face the risks head on? A major work that brings together the disciplines of physics, biology, earth and computer science, history, anthropology, statistics, international relations, political science and moral philosophy, The Precipice is a call for a new understanding of our age: a major reorientation in the way we see the world, our history, and the role we play in it. 'Ord's analysis of the science is exemplary . . . Thrillingly written' Sunday Times 'A book that seems made for the present moment' New Yorker 'Many people have recently found that they want to read books offering the grandest perspectives possible on human existence, such as Sapiens . . . Toby Ord's new book is a startling and rigorous contribution to this genre that deserves to be just as widely read' Evening Standard *A Guardian Pick for 2020*

Pokud vše půjde dobře, historie lidstva se ocitá teprve na svém počátku. Náš druh přežije miliardy let, což je dost času na to, aby skoncoval s nemocemi, chudobou a nespravedlností a rozkvetl do podoby, kterou si dnes ještě neumíme představit. Tato budoucnost je však nyní ohrožena. Kniha je založena na mnohaletém výzkumu, který se opírá o nejmodernější vědu a modeluje globální rizika, jimž jako lidstvo čelíme, od klimatické změny přes nekontrolovatelné šíření patogenů až po vývoj umělé inteligence. Autor tato rizika pojímá jako součást velkého příběhu lidstva a je přesvědčen, že vytvářet nejpravděpodobnější scénáře průběhu hrozících katastrof i toho, jak tato rizika minimalizovat, je největším morálním úkolem současnosti.