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The Art of Uncertainty


From the UK's 'statistical national treasure', a clever and data-driven guide to how we can live with risk and uncertainty We live in a world where uncertainty is inevitable. How should we deal with what we don't know? And what role do chance, luck and coincidence play in our lives? David Spiegelhalter has spent his career dissecting data in order to understand risks and assess the chances of what might happen in the future. In The Art of Uncertainty, he gives readers a window onto how we can all do this better. In engaging, crystal-clear prose, he takes us through the principles of probability, showing how it can help us think more analytically about everything from medical advice to pandemics and climate change forecasts, and explores how we can update our beliefs about the future in the face of constantly changing experience. Along the way, he explains why roughly 40% of football results come down to luck rather than talent, how the National Risk Register assesses near-term risks to the United Kingdom, and why we can be so confident that two properly shuffled packs of cards have never, ever been in the exact same order. Drawing on a wide range of captivating real-world examples, this is an essential guide to navigating uncertainty while also having the humility to admit what we do not know
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18,99 €

The Making of the Modern Middle East


Jeremy Bowen, the International Editor of the BBC, has been covering the Middle East since 1989 and is uniquely placed to explain its complex past and its troubled present. In The Making of the Modern Middle East he offers a gripping and invaluable guide, showing how it came to be and what its future might hold. In part based on his acclaimed podcast, 'Our Man in the Middle East', Bowen takes us on a journey across the Middle East and through its history. He meets ordinary men and women on the front line, and their leaders, whether brutal or benign. He explores the power games that have so often wreaked devastation on civilian populations as those leaders, whatever their motives, jostle for political, religious and economic control. Clear throughout is Bowen's deep understanding of the political, cultural and religious differences between countries as diverse as Erdogan's Turkey, Netanyahu's Israel and Palestine, whether Hamas-controlled Gaza or the West Bank. His long experience of covering events in the region make this an extraordinarily powerful account of one of the world's greatest problems.
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19,99 €

Our Wicked Gifts


How much would you sacrifice for love? What would you trade for power? How far would you go for family? The Winter family are worth billions. But only they know their success is built upon a sinister deal with the devil - each Winter possesses a unique supernatural gift to ensure their power and influence, but in exchange for their souls... Nineteen-year-old black sheep of the family Cicely's gift is for uncovering secrets, which doesn't make her very popular. But, when her family are threatened, and her uncle is found dead, they need her for the first time. When the clues point to Soren, a boy the family banished years ago, Cicely must choose between loyalty to her family and her growing feelings for the person who is trying to destroy them. A dark and twisty romantasy thriller, perfect for fans of The Inheritance Games, Succession and One Of Us is Lying from the bestselling author of Good Girls Die First.
Na sklade 1Ks
14,99 €

On Thin Ice


I have one shot to build a better life—not just for me, but for my little brother still stuck in the dump I escaped from. Now that I’ve gotten to Sovereign Kings University, I have to make it worth it. Keep my head down, ignore the rich kids, and graduate. At least that was my plan before I busted a hockey player’s knee and became public enemy number one. Now the team’s golden boy captain, Alexander, leads the charge against me. Kane, the brooding defenseman never misses a chance to humiliate me. Yet, being painfully ignored by Mountain, the reserved giant of a goalie, may just hurt the most. Beneath their hostility I find sparks of desire and unexpected depth, but can I risk losing my heart to one hockey player—let alone all three? I’m certainly in for a long, hard season.
Na sklade 1Ks
15,99 €

Amnesia Remembered


Our modern culture is increasingly expressed in the form of digital artifacts, yet archaeology is in its infancy when it comes to researching and understanding them. The study and reverse engineering of digital artifacts is no longer the exclusive domain of computer scientists. Presented by way of analogy to the process of archaeological fieldwork familiar to readers, the 1986 Electronic Arts game Amnesia is used as a vehicle to explain the procedure and thought process required to reverse engineer a digital artifact. As a go-to reference to learn how to begin studying the digital, Amnesia is shown to be a multi-layered artifact with a complex backstory; through it, topics in data compression, copy protection, memory management, and programming languages are covered.
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36,99 €

Človek a spoločnosť 2


Pracovná učebnica je určená pre 2. ročník prvého cyklu základného vzdelávania vytvorená podľa nového Štátneho vzdelávacieho programu 2023. nadväzuje na rodinné prostredie z pracovnej učebnice Človek a spoločnosť 1 a rozširuje ho do školského kontextu, čím sa posilňuje rozvoj sociálnych, občianskych i komunikačných zručností priamo v prostredí, ktoré žiak denne zažíva. Úlohy a aktivity stoja na princípoch:bádateľského a zážitkového učenia, aktivizujúcich metód, konštruktivizmu. Uplatňuje sa regionálny aspekt: úlohy vedú k objavovaniu miestnych špecifík, tradícií, komunálnych služieb a pamäťových stôp (sochy, názvy ulíc, budovy), čím budujú občiansku gramotnosť v prvom pláne. Tematické celky sú farebne odlíšené. Témami sprevádzajú žiakov Ema a Leo – deti modernej doby vedené k tradičným hodnotám.
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9,49 €

Smrt je vždycky osamělá


Napínavý příběh s nádechem fantastična, plný nostalgie a atmosféry starého Hollywoodu, zavádí čtenáře do kalifornských Benátek 50. let. Osamělý spisovatel tam uprostřed palem, kanálů a chátrajících domů začíná tušit, že kolem něj roste síť zločinu. Napovídají tomu podivné telefonáty, mořské chaluhy nalezené na prahu domu a řada záhadných nehod, z nichž některé končí smrtí. S pomocí detektiva Crumleyho a stárnoucí herečky nakonec dochází k překvapivému odhalení a zároveň i k pochopení vlastní tvůrčí síly.
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19,99 €

dostupné aj ako:

Finnegans Wake


'A great comic vision, one of the few books of the world that can make us laugh aloud on nearly every page' - Anthony Burgess James Joyce's final work, Finnegans Wake, conjures up the dark underground worlds of sexuality and dream with supreme linguistic virtuosity. Here Joyce undermines traditional storytelling and the English language, and confronts the different kinds of betrayal - cultural, political and sexual - that he saw at the heart of Irish history. Dazzlingly inventive, with passages of great lyrical beauty and humour, Finnegans Wake remains one of the most remarkable works of the twentieth century. 'Here words are not the polite contortions of twentieth-century printer's ink. They are alive. They elbow their way on to the page, and glow and blaze and fade and disappear' Samuel Beckett With a new introduction by Brian Fox.
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19,99 €

dostupné aj ako:

Disney Princess Sticker Dress-up Party


Dive into a world of fun and endless creativity with this shimmering Disney Princess sticker book! Let your imagination soar as you become a fashion stylist, mixing and matching gorgeous party outfits and accessories for some of your favorite Disney Princesses. Create unique and fabulous outfits again and again, with over 120 reusable, holographic stickers.What will the princesses wear for the party? There are so many pretty outfits to choose from in this stunning sticker book. Let’s get the party started!
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11,99 €

Rasputin Swims the Potomac


IN A WORLD THAT'S LIKE OURS BUT EVEN STRANGER . . . A TV star president is campaigning for a constitutionally dubious third term, normal Americans are falling into an unexplained weeping sickness and a wrestler claiming to be the reincarnated mystic Rasputin is making a spandex-clad entrance into politics. Meanwhile Clarence Thomas Jr. is a journalist just trying to make sense of his country as it unmoors from reality. But with violence and bullshit erupting everywhere, things seem to be approaching collapse. Or maybe it's all building to a grand gesture: something political, romantic, religious, insane and quite possibly fatal. From award-winning author Ben Fountain, Rasputin Swims the Potomac is outrageously funny, wildly imagined and razor-sharp satire. It asks: what could possibly grow out of what we have now, except for something even stranger, harder to grasp and more tumultuous? And will what comes next be better or, somehow, even worse?
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24,99 €

An Unofficial Guided Journal for Fans of Kpop Demon Hunters


Gather your besties and get ready to rock some demons!Step into the electrifying world of KPop Demon Hunters with this unofficial guided journal for kids, a place where music, magic, and monster-fighting girl power collide! Designed as an immersive, interactive companion to the film, this journal blends creative self-expression with the bold spirit of the movie’s characters. Filled with fun, kid-friendly prompts inspired by the movie’s themes of confidence, teamwork, identity, and bravery, this journal invites fans to reflect and get creative. You'll find plenty of space to write, draw, and dream about your own adventures. Dynamic movie stills bring the pages to life, giving you a visual connection to your favorite heroines and battles.
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15,99 €

Výchova v kocke


Kniha Výchova v kocke je sprievodcom svetom výchovy, ktorý rodičom pomáha pochopiť: - prečo sú ich deti také, aké sú; - čo im správanie detí odráža; - prečo nestačí riešiť iba vonkajšie prejavy detského správania; - ako dieťaťu skutočne pomôcť; - že výchova je cestou sebapoznania a sebavýchovy rodiča; - ako sa terapia dieťaťa prirodzene stáva terapiou aj pre rodiča; - čo je prvou pomocou v náročných výchovných situáciách; - ako pracovať s energiou emócií; - prečo nadmerné emočné prejavy nepatria deťom a komu patria; - kam sa obrátiť, ak má dieťa psychické alebo psychosomatické ťažkosti. „Vyrastala som s poruchami učenia i pozornosti. Bola som citlivá, trémistka a v náročných situáciách som často neuspela. Preto veľmi dobre rozumiem, čo tieto ťažkosti v dieťati zanechávajú a koľko neistoty, únavy a pocitu zlyhania dokážu priniesť. V dospelosti som navyše prešla vážnou chorobou, ktorej bežné vysvetlenia ma neuspokojili. Hľadala som hlbšie príčiny. Otázky o tom, prečo ochorejú aj malé deti, ma priviedli k presvedčeniu, že korene ťažkostí spočívajú v hlboko uložených a zabudnutých rodinných traumách. Dnes verím, že žiadne ochorenie nevzniklo tu a teraz. Je to príbeh siahajúci doďaleka, ale nie neznámy – je uložený v rodovom archíve, preto s ním môžeme pracovať. Vďaka tomuto poznaniu postupne vznikala kniha Výchova v kocke, ktorá prináša nový pohľad na problémy detí a ich výchovu.“ Mgr. Lýdia Adamcová, autorka
Na sklade 5Ks
38,99 €

I, Spy


Kendal Carter is out in thecold and she wouldn’t have it any other way. It’s been four years since herdaughter Rosie was born and Kendal has kept her miles away from the danger ofher former life as a spy. But when their hiding place is discovered, Kendal isforced to turn to old contacts for help. Her longtime friend and ex-handlerRico doesn’t miss his chance to pull his best spy back in. Whisking them toLondon, Rico offers them a luxury safe house in an area with good schools. Howcan Kendal resis? ut there’s a catch, of course. Rico wants Kendal to come back to work for hisespionage agency Bon Temps. He’s offering an assignment with no apparentdownside, investigating one of the dads at Rosie’s new school who works at oneof London’s biggest, murkiest tech firms and suspected of being up to no good. It should be easy enough for someone with her experience, and luckily, motheris the perfect cover. However, it doesn’t take long for Kendal to realize that Rico’s got an agendaof his own. The tech firm may be dealing in darker and more deadly secrets thanthey all realize, plus the world of coffee mornings and playdates comes withits own web of allegiances and betrayals. Kendal soon finds herself in way toodeep . . . A gripping blend of suspenseful spy thriller with heartfelt women’s fiction, I,Spy is the first in a propulsive debut series about the masks we all wear,whether as a spy or as a parent.
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34,49 €

Cumbernauld From Old Photographs


Cumbernauld in North Lanarkshire has seen huge changes over the years. Originally a village built around Cumbernauld Castle and Cumbernauld House, it was designated a new town in 1955 to house people living in poor conditions and war-damaged areas in Glasgow and elsewhere. Its population grew rapidly as construction started and by 1967, when the town centre was opened by Princess Margaret, Cumbernauld was winning awards for its innovative modernist architecture. Construction and expansion has continued in the ensuing years, with some of its original architecture being modified and even rebuilt for the changing requirements of people living in present-day Scotland.In Cumbernauld From Old Photographs the author has drawn on a remarkable selection of old photographs to give a pictorial record of how much the town and the community has changed over the years. Although many of landmarks have remained the same over the years the photographs show the town adapting and evolving with many other buildings being replaced and the pattern of life in the town changing for many too. This fascinating collection of images will be of interest to those who have lived in Cumbernauld or know it well.
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19,99 €

Erre születtél


AZ ERRE SZÜLETTÉL BŐVÍTETT, ÁTDOLGOZOTT KIADÁSÁT TARTOD A KEZEDBEN! Dan Millman, A békés harcos útja világhírű szerzője már emberek százezreinek mutatott utat, hogy értelmet, célt és irányt találjanak életükben az ősi bölcsességen alapuló, modern életfeladat-rendszer segítségével, amelyet az Erre születtél lapjain ismerhetünk meg. Ez az élvezetes kézikönyv akár jóskönyvként is használható, elsősorban azonban egy praktikus és könnyen érthető számmisztikai rendszer, amely az ősi püthagoraszi tanokra épül. Miután meghatározzuk saját születési számunkat, elgondolkodtató összefüggések sora tárul fel előttünk. Részletes képet kapunk a születési számokból levezethető életutak sajátosságairól, amelyek figyelembevételével rátalálhatunk arra az ÉLETRE, amelyre SZÜLETTÜNK. A bővített, átdolgozott kiadás tartalmából: • 1750-ig visszamenőleg meghatározhatjuk bárki születési számát és a hozzá tartozó életutat – beleértve a 2000 után születetteket is, akiknél egy számjegyű szám jelzi az életutat. • Megtudhatjuk, milyen kihívásokkal kell szembenéznünk, és milyen erősségek jellemzik az egyes életutakat a pénz, szexualitás, egészség és életfeladatok terén. • Megismerhetjük azokat a kulcsfontosságú spirituális törvényeket, amelyek segítenek leküzdeni az akadályokat. • Útmutatót kapunk ahhoz, hogy megtaláljuk a képességeinkhez és belső vágyainkhoz leginkább illő hivatást. • Feltárulnak kapcsolataink rejtett dinamikái és az ismétlődő mintázatok. • Megtanulhatjuk, hogyan éljünk harmóniában életünk 9 éves ciklusaival. • A szerző számos példát hoz hírességek és ismert emberek életútjából. Miután saját számunkat meghatároztuk, barátaink, rokonaink és szeretteink adataival is elkezdünk játszani – és újabb, elgondolkodtató összefüggésekre bukkanunk. Az életcél-rendszer lehetővé teszi számodra, hogy a saját követendő életutadon kívül a barátaid, szeretteid, ügyfeleid, munkatársaid és más ismerőseid kijelölt útját is világosan meglásd.
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22,51 €

Az éhség titka


Jason Fung, aki Az elhízás titka című könyvével ezreknek segített lefogyni, új kötetében a hízás alapvető, kiváltó okát, az éhség természetét és szerepét vizsgálja, és feltárja azt a három erőt, amely evésre késztet bennünket: a fizikai, az érzelmi és a társas éhséget. A fogyás hagyományos megközelítése ugyanis alapvetően csak tüneti kezelés, ami nem jelent tartós sikert. A tartós siker kulcsa ugyanis az éhségérzet kezelése, hiszen ezen keresztül tudjuk megváltoztatni azt a biológiai beállítási pontot, amely meghatározza, mennyi zsírt igyekszik a szervezet megtartani. A könyv három aranyszabállyal és ötven gyakorlati tanáccsal segít felismerni és kezelni az éhséget: megtanítja, hogyan szakítsd meg az érzelmi evés körforgását, hogyan lassítsd az emésztést, és hogyan állj ellen a folyamatos evésre ösztönző társas nyomásnak. Segítségével nemcsak a fogyás, hanem az elért eredmény megtartása is sikerülni fog.
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15,49 €

Newport Bus


Newport Bus, the operating name of Newport Transport Limited, is the main provider of bus services in the city of Newport. It is one of a few remaining municipal bus companies in the United Kingdom and the second largest in Wales after Cardiff Bus. Newport has gone through a period of great change since the turn of the millennium, and so has its buses. The traditional green and cream livery has been replaced and now buses operate in overall green. 2020 saw the introduction of a fleet of Electric Yutong vehicles, making Newport Bus the largest operator of electric buses in Wales at that time.With a wealth of previously unpublished images, Simon Ingham documents the changing face of the city’s municipal bus company.
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19,99 €

The Sword in the Stone


Many Indo-European peoples worshipped a sword-god, but the oldest of those associated with the Sword in the Stone come from the Hittite culture. The major evidence is found in a sacred complex at Yazilikaya near the original Hittite capitol of Hattusha. Twelve sword-bearing runners are depicted and there is a chamber dedicated to the swords that depicts a sword god. Clearly, we are looking at a zodiac pattern. Christ had twelve disciples and Charlemagne and King Arthur both had twelve companions. The twelve runners with the swords are on the western wall, and ''west'' is the traditional direction of the Otherworld, the Land of the Dead, in many Indo-European traditions. The Hittite ''Prayer of Kantuzzili'' tells how Underworld gods were shaped from clay into the form of swords and implanted in the ground. The story of the Sword in the Stone is repeated down through the centuries in different cultures, and the authors here bring all the strands together to explain hoe we arrive at Arthur. And even Galahad, the son of Lancelot, deputed to be the successful Grail knight in the later accounts of the quest, also performed this miracle. In this case the sword is placed in a floating stone by Merlin.Why is it a forty-thousand-year-old mystery? Observers in the Mesopotamian and Babylonian cultures noticed then that what is today referred to as the Pole Star, which sat at the centre of the heavenly dome, was shifting several degrees to the North. This event, which became known as Northshift, changed the positions of the constellations written across the sky, affecting the way in which the stars were perceived to influence the fate of us all. This is a fascinating tale of human perception of the night sky, and how it produced its own timeless narrative.
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29,99 €

Glory and Dishonour


There have been many books on Victoria Cross heroes but this is the first one to explore the lives of those for whom the greatest accolade did not bring contentment, happiness or lasting fame. Men like the Cheltenham-born Duncan Boyes. The seventeen-year-old Midshipman Boyes won the VC in 1864, carrying the Queen's Colour through withering Japanese fire. Four years later, he would commit suicide by jumping out of a hotel window in Dunedin, New Zealand. How such tragedies unfold – and why – is the essence of this book. How do we judge the actions of Martin Doyle VC MM, for example? At the Battle of the Somme in 1916, under heavy fire, he carried a wounded officer to safety. Later he went to the aid of men in a blazing tank. When a machine gun opened up at close range, preventing the rescue of the wounded, he charged and silenced it, taking three prisoners. He also carried another wounded soldier to safety despite intense fire. Soon, he would be an IRA intelligence officer arranging the deaths of British soldiers. For Victoria Cross holders there is an observation that it is sometimes easier to win the medal than to wear it. Glory and Dishonour shows how true that can be.
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15,99 €

Najpredávanejší autori v tejto kategórii: Dominik Dán, Joanne K. Rowling, Sarah J. Maasová, Freida McFadden, Juraj Červenák.